Basketball Free For All

I compiled a quick list of some guys who might be of use in the short term to help your teams this week.  Hopefully everyone is already aware of guys like Toney Douglas, Jrue Holiday and Anthony Tolliver.  Good luck!

Matt Bonner (PF, C – 7%) – His role has increased a bit of late so he could help the deeper league team in a few cat’s but mainly 3’s.

James Harden (PG, SG – 26%) – see Phil’s article.

Chris Hunter (SF/PF/C – 2%) – As Golden State’s only true center still standing, expect Chris to see decent time down the stretch.  On his productive nights, expect points (on great FG%), boards and an occasional block.

Serge Ibaka (C – 5%) – He’s playing with a lot of confidence right now and can help you with boards/blocks.

Kyle Lowry (PG/SG – 9%) – As his ankle has strengthened, he’s gone back to being more effective again.  In addition, Battier continues to miss time to a hyper extended knee.  Kyle will help with points, assists and steals.

Jason Maxiell (PF/C – 23%) – Don’t let his last game scare you off as he got into foul trouble.  By many accounts, Ben Wallace is done so Max will get a lot of run putting up great boards with decent points/blocks.

Wesley Matthews (PG/SG – 12%)/CJ Miles (SG/SF – 13%) – Points, 3’s and steals available here but expectations should be tempered a bit as Andrei Kirilenko is slated to return Friday.

Darko Milicic (PC/C – 12%) – Over his last 4 games, he’s averaging just over 30 minutes.  Boards/blocks are good with decent points and FG%.

James Singleton (SF/PF – 8%) – Flip just stated he’s going to be inserted into the starting lineup.  He’s a rebounding machine but can help in points and defensive categories on certain nights.  Must add for those looking for boards as he’s got a very fantasy friendly schedule down the stretch.

Bill Walker (SG/SF – 8%) – Juicy matchup against PHO and going forward the Knicks play 10 games with Wilson Chandler still sidelined and Tracy McGrady always ready to go down.  With decent run, he’s usually good for points, 3’s and steals.

Earl Watson (PG – 19%) -  TJ Ford continues to miss games so Earl could be a good source of assists/steals with a 3 or two.  However, do so as a last resort as Ford is slated to be back any day now.

Reggie Williams (SF – 19%) – Nellie loves anyone who can put the ball in the hoop and currently Reggie is converting at a very efficient clip (sorry Anthony Morrow owners).  Get his scoring (on good percentages), 3’s and rebounds while he’s still hot!

Everyone ready for the home stretch?  We’ve got 3 weeks left before most fantasy playoffs begin in Week 22.  However, don’t view this as a time to coast as it could be more important than ever to pay attention to your teams.  Whether you’re fighting to make the playoffs or simply looking to make those final tweaks to bring home a championship, the moves you make now could potentially decide your entire seasons.  So FOCUS! 

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When one door closes, another one opens — or so the saying goes, anyways. With the trading period closed in the NBA, it is time to scour the waiver wire and see if the trades opened up any doors for your fantasy teams. As my distinguished colleague Oleh pointed out in his breakdown of the fantasy fallout from last week’s trades, there is plenty of value to be had as a result of trades, injuries and everything in between.

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Wondering what will be the effects of all the major deals prior to today’s deadline?  Well, worry no more as Justin and I are here to help clear up any confusion.  I’ll handle the relevant fantasy perspective while Justin will tackle the realistic implications in a subsequent article.  If we happen to miss anything or you simply have a question, as always, feel free to leave a comment below.

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The All Star break is always a good time to start reviewing and analyzing the current season, as we are starting to acquire large enough of a sample size to begin to make decent judgments. With the season over 60 percent complete, the Coach of the Year (COTY) race is starting to take shape, with two coaches in particular rising above the rest of the pack: Atlanta’s Mike Woodson and Oklahoma City’s Scott Brooks. However, this season there are a decent number of qualified coaches so we’ll break down the other hopefuls and also examine the COTY’s recent (and in some ways dubious) history to get a full picture of this season’s race.

Vote for me!

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As we arrive at the mid-point of the season, it becomes apparent that the early season success of a few players is more than just a fluke hot start. These players may have been decent contributors in the past but never gained mainstream attention outside of their own team’s fan base. These are the players that should be considered for the Most Improved Player Award.

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As I’m sure you remember, Greg Oden will once again miss the rest of the season due to another horrific injury.  This time he fractured his left knee cap.  First, it was a right knee injury in his rookie season that led to microfracture surgery.  Last year, he missed 15 games due to a bone chip in his left knee and 6 games to a foot sprain.  It’s no wonder Blazer fans are scared out of their minds as they’ve gone through big man troubles with Bill Walton and then Sam Bowie.  So what does the future hold for Greg Oden?  Specifically, can he take some precautions to significantly reduce the liklihood of injury?  On a broader note, is it feasible to eliminate the injury prone label from all NBA players?

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Unfortunately the best all-star game in sports is suffering from a growing case of stupidity.  This year, Tracy McGrady and Allen Iverson are still on pace to start at guard in the upcoming mid-season classic in Dallas.  Thankfully, the fans only get to choose just 10 players, but it’s become apparent that this might even be too much responsibility unless the selection process is changed.  If you’re an avid fan, this just has to get your blood boiling a bit.  Question is, what should be done?

We’ve all heard the argument that the All-Star game is for the fans so whomever they choose to start should be allowed.  In the past, this has always been acceptable as the results haven’t been too skewed.  However, with each passing year, it has become obvious this has become more of a popularity contest.  Last season the unthinkable almost happened.  Yi Jianlian finished 3rd among Eastern Conference forwards despite putting up 10.5 points (on 40.3 FG%), 1.0 3ptm, 6.2 rebounds and .5 steals/.6 blocks.  Say what?

Naturally there are many who think the game is just for fun so it doesn’t matter who gets in.

Don Nelson, who coached the West All-Star team in 1992, takes a different view of McGrady’s situation. The Golden State coach said the league should respect the fans’ right to vote by not questioning the final results.

“If you’re going to have fan voting, then you gotta accept that they might vote in a guy that hasn’t played,” Nelson said. “They may vote for a guy just because he has a big name. It’s just kind of the way it is, and you gotta live with it.”

Source:  OregonLive.com

I guess it boils down to how you view the All-Star game.  Historically, being selected was considered a proud achievement as players were honored for being the most developed and well-regarded in the league.  Just take a glance at the rosters of prior games.  I can’t seem to find any duds.

Being an avid supporter of tradition, I don’t see any reason why this definition of an All-Star should be changed now.  It’s NOT a My Fave Five game.  Consequently what steps can be done to prevent an embarrassment from happening?  Here is the short list I’ve come up with:

1)  Eliminate fan voting

It doesn’t appear too difficult to discount this one.  Next to All-Stars always being worthy players, it can be argued the other mainstay is fan voting.  Since 1951, fans have always been allowed to vote for players.  There is simply no way the NBA would take a step that would be akin to cutting off their own feet.  Fan involvement undoubtedly helps promote the game ensuring it’s survival even in difficult economic conditions.

2)  Eliminate Internet voting

It would appear that a number of irregularities have cropped up since allowing the rest of the world to have a say.  It shouldn’t come as a surprise then that entire cultures have decided to vote for their own.  Without a doubt the most polarizing figure in the game is Yao Ming.  Thanks to him, the Rockets team and individual players get an inordinate amount of attention.  Just look the latest Western Conference ballot results:  Aaron Brooks (5th among guards), Trevor Ariza (6th among forwards) and Luis Scola (7th among forwards).  In addition, I have no doubt in my mind that Yi will push (probably make) next year’s All-Star game.

However, I don’t think the best move is to suddenly alienate any regions outside of the United States.  If we truly want to globalize basketball, discrimination isn’t the way to go (I’m sure David Stern would agree as it would likely hinder the amount of revenue generated by the NBA).

Eventually, you have to believe the more familiar other cultures become with the NBA, the more likely people will vote based on performance.  It appears even a significant portion of Chinese questioned Yi almost making it last year:

China’s 350 million basketball fans have become an important group for the NBA, so it is not surprising that Yi, a Chinese national, rank thirds in the voting. They believe the votes cast by Chinese fans should carry equal weight with those cast by American or German fans, and they have called on others to be self-confident in participating in the vote.

But others argue that Yi’s skills are not good enough for him to become a starter in the All-Star game. They say some fans have voted for him repeatedly or even resorted to manipulating computer software in an attempt to give him enough votes to be included on the All-Star game’s roster.

Those that believe Yi’s skills as a basketball player are below par say the level of All-Star game is lowered by such tactics, which constitute cheating. They also note that forcing the NBA’s global fans to accept the voting results of Chinese fans is not good for the future development of Yi, whom they believe is not qualified to take part in the All-Star game at present.

Source:  China Daily

3)  Impose Certain Criteria

Another possible method to attempt to regulate All-Star selection would be placing certain restrictions.  There are countless ones that come to mind.  Perhaps the NBA places fewer names on the ballot and does away with write-ins.  How about having fan votes be worth less and be combined with expert/player/coach voting (something similar to the NFL’s Pro Bowl)?  Or maybe set up some simple criteria that have been advocated by players like Brandon Roy?

“Maybe they should do it where you have to play a certain amount of games to start,” said Roy, who was ninth in the voting for guards. “If you play in a certain amount of games, then you get to start or play before they announce the team.”

Source:  OregonLive.com

This could conceivably work but it would still be subject to scrutiny, not to mention the added requirement of increased resources.  Fans could still upset the notion of fairness under any one of those purported changes.  In addition, in many cases additional criteria would result in more work by the NBA especially since paper ballots are still used.  What would happen when the first ballots are released and then a player misses a number of games?

4)  Players & Coaches Decide Rosters Then Fans Decide Starters

In my opinion, the coaches and players in the Association should select the entire rosters up to a month before the actual game is to be held.  There is no doubt that they would come up with a very deserving roster as peers normally judge quite objectively.  Then allow the fans to vote electronically (whether through the internet or booths at arenas) starting a month before the actual game.  If deemed necessary, allow the fans to also have 1 additional write-in vote for an extra bench slot.  This would satisfy their need to select that one player they want to see participate, whether for cultural or nostalgic reasons.

There are a multitude of benefits by adopting such a selection process.  First, it allows the NBA to set up the fairest system in maintaining a tradition of great NBA players in the All Star game where fans still play an important role.  Second, it would move the NBA towards the 21st century whereby eliminating the use of paper ballots.  Lastly, it would lead a better promotion of the game by giving the most deserving players the credit.  For instance, small market teams would benefit by reducing the emphasis on obscurity.  Also, the NBA would be less likely to suffer the retirements of certain generations.  In most people’s minds, the NBA has dipped when greats like Larry Bird, Magic Johnson and Michael Jordan retired without having someone immediately step into their big shoes.  By adopting this proposed system, NBA transitions would probably go much more smoothly.

While I’m not that incensed about either Tmac or AI (as compared to a near Yi debacle), there is a window open where one day a completely undeserving player who was never great at any time may be announced among the league’s best.  Please, if you have a minute to spare, go over to NBA.com and make the right choice.  Paper balloting will continue through Jan. 10, while wireless balloting and voting on NBA.com will conclude Jan. 18.

This season was supposed to be one that marked the return of the Washington Wizards into the thick of the playoff picture.  Flip Saunders was to be the answer to their coaching problems bringing a veteran presence with a solid postseason record.  For the first time in three years, Gilbert Arenas, Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison were going to get to play the majority of the season and prove why management was right to wait for the Big 3.  Unfortunately, two months into the season, it is once again on  the verge of being lost.

The Wizards are currently 10-21, the cellar in the Southeast Division.  They are below average both defensively (20th) and offensively (22nd).  2 of their 3 main cogs, Butler (42.7 FG%, 29.3 3FG%) and Arenas (41.1 FG% and 3.8 TO’s, are obviously having terribly inefficient seasons.  Moreover, these two had an apparent rift come to light in November where Gilbert called out Caron.

However, that has become a distant memory as much more has since transpired.  First, with the Wizards posting a losing record in the month of December of 5-9, Flip Saunders finally openly criticized the Wizard’s play this past Tuesday:

After 30 games, Saunders unloaded on his team like never before, with the most scathing criticism of his players all season. It was arguably the most scathing criticism I’ve ever heard a coach give his team — in person. Saunders kept his cool and never raised his voice, so it does not rank up there with some infamous meltdowns by NFL coaches Jim Mora (Playoffs?! & Couldn’t do diddly-poo), Mike Ditka (Next!) or Dennis Green (They are who we thought they were!). But this was the first time I ever heard a coach tell a room full of reporters that he could put five of them on the floor against his team and have success. It was the first time I heard coach say that, at age 54, he could take any player on his team one-on-one.

Source – Wizards Insider:  Michael Lee

Second, and more importantly, Gilbert Arenas and Javaris Crittenton were discovered to be a part of a dispute over the holidays that involved the use of handguns.  Specifically, the incident occurred in the locker room of the Verizon center!  While it is unclear at this time the penalties that will be incurred, undoubtedly something will happen.

Regardless of the details, though, Arenas could be in a world of trouble — with the District and Federal governments, with the league and with the Wizards — with the possibility, remote for now but still there, that the team could ultimately seek to void the remainder of his $111 million contract, signed in 2008.

Source:  David Aldridge

Do you know what makes this more painful to loyal Wizards fans?  The fact it’s a complete slap in the face by their superstar to the once proud owner, Abe Pollin.  Management patiently stood by him during his difficult rehabilitation as evidenced by a completely undeserved new contract.  Then this year, after a lot of substandard play, Agent Zero brought a ton of shame to an organization that changed their nickname in 1995 because of gun violence.

Abe Pollin decided months ago that it was wrong to call his Washington basketball team the Bullets. He pushed up the announcement the other day after flying back from the funeral of a friend, a hero, who had been killed by bullets.

I stood in the spot when Rabin was killed,” Pollin said the other day.

Yitzhak Rabin, the Prime Minister of Israel, was assassinated a week ago Saturday in Tel Aviv. His life was no more precious than the lives of children killed by flying bullets as they cower in apartments in the District of Columbia, or teen-agers gunned down in the heat of an argument. Yitzhak Rabin’s death reinforced Abe Pollin’s belief that something must be done about the nickname.

Source:  New York Times

Guess what – it gets even better:

Arenas was suspended for Washington’s season opener in 2004 because he failed to maintain proper registration of a handgun while living in California in 2003. Arenas formerly played for the Golden State Warriors.

Source:  Huffington Post

Wow, so he was aware of the responsibility of gun ownership, Abe’s take and resulting NBA suspensions yet he thought that his locker was the best place for his guns?  You mean to tell me he couldn’t trouble any one of his countless friends to hang onto them for awhile?  Better yet, if you don’t need them anymore – go sell them, give them away or at least drop them off at the police station!

To no one’s surprise, it appears the Wizard’s organization wants to be done with the embattled guard.  Supposedly the team has inquired about whether other teams are interested in his services.   Most notably, Washington was even willing to trade him for cap relief – Tracy McGrady.  However, according to David Aldridge, “the new investigation also has put any notion of trade talks between Washington, which is resigned to performing radical surgery on its roster and is now willing to trade anyone — including Arenas, Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison — and other teams on hold indefinitely.”

Since the Wizards are in a holding pattern, what should you be contemplating as a fantasy owner?

Ultimately, it appears licensed-to-ill Agent Zero is going to miss games at some point.  It is anyone’s guess at this time as to when or how many, but expect the worst.  Besides the tough stance by the District of Columbia, the NBA expressed their sentiments in the past which resulted in an amendment to the 2006 Collective Bargaining Agreement banning firearms in a number of places.  David Stern was particularly adamant about his thoughts on guns:

Before the 2006-07 season, David Stern called the trend of pro athletes carrying weapons to defend themselves “an alarming subject” and went on record as saying that if it were not part of the collective bargaining agreement, he wouldn’t allow players to carry guns, short of “being able to have a firearm to protect your home. Period.”

Source:  New York Daily News

Consequently, even if Arenas manages to evade legal prosecution, I expect at a minimum, a hefty fine and suspension.  However, the NBA and the Wizards organizations have stated they will reserve judgement until the authorities have concluded their investigations and/or a court of law has had its say.  Thus, Gilbert will continue to play.  For those unlucky few who drafted him, look for an opportunity to try to trade him after a nice stretch of a few games.  This is really applicable to keeper leagues as the short end of the stick could occur next season.  Definitely avoid buying low on him as something like this will hang over his and the team’s head until it’s resolved.  With the pathetic start the Wizards have gotten off to, it’ll be magnified.

Plonden gets two thumbs up for being able to peer into the future.  No, not for making any solid picks, but rather realizing we could use another writer or two around here.  Haha!  Honestly, we both happened to be without solid computer access for most of the week – hey it’s the holidays, right?  For this, we apologize but we vow to get back to posting multiple articles every week.

Ok, on to the good stuff!  Hopefully, some of you were able to nab Leandro Barbosa, Yi Jianlian, Jameer Nelson or Tyrus Thomas returning from injury.  If not, keep on reading then as you probably have a need to replace some dead wood on your rosters.

Week Ten Schedules

Four Games:  CHA, CLE, IND, LAL, MIN, NYK, OKC, PHI, SAC, SAS

Three Games:  ATL, BOS, CHI, DAL, DEN, GSW, HOU, MEM, MIA, MIL, NJN, NOH, ORL, PHO, POR, TOR, UTA, WAS

Two Games:  DET, LAC

ADD LIST (players owned in 40% or less in standard Yahoo! leagues)

DeJuan Blair (SF/PF/C – 11%) – Everyone’s favorite preseason rookie is finally getting minutes including a season high of 35 against the Knicks this past Sunday.  Apparently not everyone has jumped all over him yet so check your leagues now.  His per 36 numbers are fantastic – close to 60 FG%, 14.6 points, 13 rebounds, .9 steals and 1.3 blocks.

James Harden (PG/SG – 38%) – The last 6 games, James is averaging just about 28 minutes a game.  Over that time span, he’s averaging 13.2 points, 1 3ptm/steal, 3.7 boards, 2.2 assists and 1.2 TO’s.  It appears his role will be consistent going forward so expect these numbers to remain (in case you’re wondering, ziguana has him ranked 87th the last 12 days which includes the dismal 41.7 FG%).

Kirk Hinrich (PG/SG – 29%) – Soon to be fired Vinnie Del Negro has put Kirk into the starting lineup (not that it really mattered considering he’s been over 30 minutes a game since his return from injury).  Over the last 5 games, Kirk has averaged 11 points, 1.6 3ptm, 4.6 boards and 3.8 assists.  It’ll be interesting to see what a new coach decides to do, but he’s worth owning at least in the interim as he’s admitted he’s more comfortable in a starting role.

Juwan Howard (SF/PF/C – 10%) – With Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla done for the year, Juwan has been pushed into a prominent role.  Most likely, the Blazers will pick up another big man but in the meantime give him a look for solid FG% and good rebounding.  Since becoming a starter, he’s put up 8.7 points, 10 boards on 54 FG%.

Brandon Rush (SG/SF – 22%) – Him again?!?  Unfortunately yes.  First, he’s looking at a four game week so regardless of the subpar play, he should be able to put up useful numbers over the course of the week.  Second, both Mike Dunleavy (sufferring from lack of strength in his legs) and Dahntay Jones (return to mediocrity?)  have been awful.  Look for him to continue to get solid minutes contributing 3’s/steals/blocks with decent boards at his position.  Naturally, be aware he’ll most likely hurt your team’s %’s.

CUT LIST

Tyson Chandler (C – 44%) – If Tyson hadn’t given you a reason to kick him to the WW with his substandard play thusfar this season, his latest stress reaction in his foot probably should.  Considering he struggled with foot problems the past season and he still hasn’t felt 100% after offseason surgery, there is a good chance it’ll linger well into the rest of this season.

Tracy McGrady (SG/SF – 62%) – It should be obvious the Rockets and Tmac are and will not be on the same page for the rest of the season.  The Rockets decided to sit him down for a few games so he left the team to spend time with his family (uh, ok).  Prior to this, he wasn’t seeing even 8 minutes a game.  Time for everyone the end their love affair with him as it’s completely up in the air when his situation will improve whether through a trade or a Rocket’s injury.

WATCH LIST

Ryan Gomes (SF/PF – 30%) – Ryan gets the “watch list” treatment because it’s unsure how significant his production will be going forward.  Prior to his really solid stretch just prior to his injury, he was largely an inconsistent mess.  Considering the Wolves won 3 of the 6 games he missed (and Damien Wilkins hasn’t been all that bad), I can’t see Rambis thrusting him into any prominent role.

Tyler Hansbrough (SF/PF – 10%) – I know Plonden told you to cut him a week ago, but you’ve at least got to put him back on your radar.  The Pacer’s could very well be considered the worst team in the league at the moment as they’ve lost 6 in a row including two embarrassing losses in their last 2 games.  Consequently, I could see the Pacers start off loading some of their higher salary players, but none more so than Troy Murphy.  No Troy means excellent minutes and production from Tyler (if you can stomach the FG%) – 36 minute per – 17.5 points, 9.6 boards, 1.2 steals with only 1.6 TO’s.

Serge Ibaka (C – 3%) – Allowing a pass in the Thunder’s last game, Serge has been playing admirably well.  In a four game stretch, he’s seen a little over 24 minutes a game and averaged 10.5 points, 8.5 boards, 1.2 blks on 62 FG%.  I expect his role to remain pretty solid as both Nenad Krstic and Nick Collison lack a lot of ability necessary many a night against NBA competition.

C.J. Miles (SG/SF – 4%) – Yeah I know he’s been horrid his last 2 games (2 for 15 FG’s), but don’t give up hope yet.  The Jazz need his production as Wesley Matthews will be more inconsistent going forward while Kyle Korver is still having knee problems.  I expect Miles to be a good source of points, 3’s and steals this week as the Jazz face the Wolves, Thunder and Nuggets.

Earl Watson (PG – 6%) – Another complete failure the last 2 games, Earl should be given a chance for at least this upcoming week (as I mentioned the Pacers are looking at a 4 game week).  Considering TJ Ford has all but been written off by Jim O’Brien, Mr. Watson has a good chance to rebound as the coach relies on a veteran leader to help the Pacers turn about their recent woeful play.  Expect solid 3’s, assists and steals out of him against the Bulls, Grizzlies, Wolves and Knicks.

STAY THE COURSE

Ersan Ilyasova (SF/PF – 50%) – Hitting only 4 out of his past 24 field goals, will make you want to drop Ersan faster than a hot potato, but I ask you to reconsider the notion for 3 reasons.  One, his opportunity won’t be taken away as  the Bucks aren’t going anywhere fast so they’ll stick with their youth.  Two, he’s got Hakim Warrick behind him.  Three, team leaders Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut are as brittle as they come.

Marreesse Speights (PF/C – 34%) – After a 28/9 performance against the Clippers, Marreesse appears to have gone on hiatus (4.5 points, 4 boards the last 2 games).  This might be a nice opportunity for you to jump on him as some owner has lost the faith but you shouldn’t.  Besides his fantastic ability, he is too good of a fit under Eddie Jordan so expect a return to strong numbers in the near future.

DEEP LEAGUE SPECIALS

Nazr Mohammed (C – 4%) – If Nazr is available, nab him in deep leagues.  While Tyson Chandler is slated to only miss a week, I expect his foot to hold him back much longer.  In the meantime, expect similar production to his last 2 game averages of 14 points, 8.5 boards, 1 steal/board with excellent FG% and TO numbers.

Jeff Pendergraph (SF/PF – 0%) – Until the Blazer’s are able to bring in another big man, Jeff will be relied on to assist Juwan Howard down the low.  Scary, I know but he’s worth a look for some extra points, rebounds and defensive numbers all done in an efficient manner (based on summer league production).

MYSTERY MAN

Delonte West (PG/SG – 20%) – In keeping with last week’s new category, is there anyone more worthy of a mention?  To start the year, it wasn’t even certain when, if at all, he’d be back on the court.  Now that he is racking up more 20+ minute games than DNP’s, the question is will he achieve any consistency to be worth owning in the average fantasy league – especially in the 3 point category (1 made 3 the entire month!!!)?  I say yes.  As he and his teammates continue to acclimate to one another, his role will likely increase.  After all, the Cav’s have won 9 of their last 10 and it can be argued he was their second most valuable player last season.  In addition, it’s no surprise confidence is the last thing he needs to achieve (the motorcycle stunt and his wrist injury).  However, it’s getting there as both the coach and teammates are noticing.